On 18th July 2016 (1-2pm) Ronald Bachmann, Head of the domain of Labor Markets, Education and Population at the RWI Essen will give a presentation about “The Long-run Effects of Labour Market Polarization: Evidence from German Micro Data" in Q4.245. Afterwards, Mr. Bachmann will be available for questions and discussions. His presentation is part of https://wiwi.uni-paderborn.de/dep1/me/research/discussing-research/seam/.
In this paper, we analyse the adjustment processes related to routine-biased technological change at the individual level. Using an administrative panel data set for Germany allows us to follow individual workers over an extended period of time and thus to examine long-run effects. Our findings suggest that re-employment probabilities of routine workers have deteriorated strongly since the mid-1990s. Even five years after a transition to nonemployment, there are still significant differences in employment probabilities between workers having previously worked in different task categories.